BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Illinois St

Class: 1B Class Rank: 19 Overall: (10-4) Overall Strength =  123.00
Conference: Missouri Valley Football Conference Record: (6-2) | District: 1B-01 Record: (10-3)
                                                                                         pre-game current
 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict Predict
 1 08/31/2024 Away    L     119.53   0  40   1A  25 ( 8- 5) Iowa                   -3.23 *   -8.58  -36.77                      
 2 09/07/2024 Away    W   * 125.33  24  17   1B  52 ( 3- 9) North Alabama           2.58     10.07    4.42                      
 3 09/14/2024 Home    W   * 122.86  51  34   1B  69 ( 4- 8) Western Illinois        0.11     21.82   16.89                      
 4 09/21/2024 Home    W   * 128.49  31   7   1B  88 ( 3- 9) Eastern Illinois        5.73      9.32   18.27                      
 5 09/28/2024 Home    L * * 113.23  10  42   1B   3 (14- 2) North Dakota St        -9.53    -16.52  -22.47                      
 6 10/05/2024 Away    W * * 156.48  45  10   1B  47 ( 4- 8) Southern Illinois      33.73      0.09    1.27                      
 7 10/12/2024 Home    L * *  90.39   7  41   1B  11 ( 8- 4) Missouri St           -32.37      7.41   -1.63                      
 8 10/19/2024 Away    W * * 109.37  40  32   1B 108 ( 1-11) Murray St             -13.39     12.26   21.39                      
 9 11/02/2024 Home    W * * 118.49  23  16   1B  49 ( 4- 8) Youngstown St          -4.27      7.17   11.27                      
10 11/09/2024 Away    W * * 136.10  31   9   1B  75 ( 3- 9) Northern Iowa          13.35      8.50    8.65                      
11 11/16/2024 Away    W * * 119.37  31  19   1B  85 ( 4- 8) Indiana St             -3.38     13.67   15.38                      
12 11/23/2024 Home    W * * 143.92  35  13   1B  20 ( 5- 7) North Dakota           21.16     -2.53    0.84                      
13 11/30/2024 Away    W   * 131.05  35  27   1B  22 ( 9- 4) SE Missouri St          8.30     -1.77   -0.30                      
14 12/07/2024 Away    L   * 103.97  10  42   1B   5 (11- 3) UC-Davis              -18.79     -8.89  -13.21                      
      Averages             122.76  26.6 24.9

Best game:  156.48 = 35 point win over Southern Illinois
Worst game:  90.39 = 34 point loss to Missouri St
Team stdev:  16.60